A fractional model for the COVID-19 pandemic: Application to Italian data

  • Authors: Elisa Alòs.
  • game theory
  • Stochastic Analysis and Applications

We provide a probabilistic SIRD model for the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy, where we allow the infection, recovery and death rates to be random. In particular, the underlying random factor is driven by a fractional Brownian motion. Our model is simple and needs only some few parameters to be calibrated.

Subscribe to our newsletter
Want to receive the latest news and updates from the BSE? Share your details below.
Founding institutions
Distinctions
Logo BSE
© Barcelona Graduate School of
Economics. All rights reserved.
QualityTransparencyLegalCookie PolicySite map
YoutubeFacebookLinkedinInstagramX