Human vs. Machine: Disposition Effect Among Algorithmic and Human Day-traders

  • BSE Working Paper: 1133 | December 19
  • Keywords: rationality , financial markets , automation , disposition effect , algorithmic trading
  • JEL codes: D8, D91, G11, G12, G23, G41, O3
  • rationality
  • financial markets
  • automation
  • disposition effect
  • algorithmic trading
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Abstract

Can humans achieve rationality, as defined by the expected utility theory, by automating their decision making? We use millisecond-stamped transaction-level data from the Copenhagen Stock Exchange to estimate the disposition effect – the tendency to sell winning but not losing stocks – among algorithmic and human professional day-traders. We find that: (1) the disposition effect is substantial among humans but virtually zero among algorithms; (2) this difference is not fully explained by rational explanations and is, at least partially, attributed to prospect theory, realization utility and beliefs in mean-reversion; (3) the disposition effect harms trading performance, which further deems such behavior irrational.

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